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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1685

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, July 16, 2025 17:41:09
    ACUS11 KWNS 161741
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 161740=20
    OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-161945-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1685
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1240 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

    Areas affected...Central/Southern OH into Far Northern KY

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 161740Z - 161945Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm coverage is expected across
    central/southern Ohio and far northern Kentucky this afternoon.
    Isolated damaging gusts are possible with a few of these
    thunderstorm clusters.

    DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across central/southern OH and far northern KY over the next few hours as
    the well-defined MCV currently over far southeast IN progresses
    northeastward into the moist and destabilizing downstream airmass.
    Deep-layer flow across the region is modest, resulting in a
    predominantly multicellular storm mode. However, some enhanced
    low/mid-level southwesterlies will accompany the MCV, which could
    contribute to a few loosely organized, northeastward-progressing
    clusters capable of isolated damaging gusts. Limited severe coverage
    is expected to preclude the need for watch.

    ..Mosier/Smith.. 07/16/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6n954uQGDOkDZ7oAizscFdaZHNxN2Y92pCG5GmenkkZwaQq1hv7yZVetVtdsdbJW8dqKH2_La= SSCucgHwtCTcxc3aYY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...

    LAT...LON 40048474 40848401 41008225 40288168 38668224 38128386
    38938467 40048474=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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